Perikatan Nasional is facing serious internal tensions mainly between PAS and Bersatu, raising questions over the coalition’s stability ahead of the upcoming elections [1, 2]. PAS president Tan Sri Abdul Hadi Awang signaled in May that PAS is reassessing its cooperation with Bersatu, citing breaches in coalition solidarity [2]. Political analyst Dr Mohammad Tawfik Yaakub warned, "I see the risk in Perlis and the split within PN as a political time bomb if it fails to be managed wisely by the leadership of both parties" [1].
Perlis Menteri Besar Abu Bakar Hamzah also voiced readiness to dissolve the Perlis state assembly if a no-confidence vote against the government succeeds, highlighting political instability within PN in the state [2]. Muhammad Afifi Abdul Razak said, "Hadi’s statement was not merely a threat, but rather a strategic move aimed at pressuring Bersatu to comply with PAS’ terms in future seat negotiations" [2].
PAS currently governs Kelantan, Terengganu, and Kedah with strong grassroots support, while Bersatu increasingly relies on PAS for political relevance [2]. Analysts say a split between PAS and Bersatu in the upcoming 16th General Election would likely benefit Umno/Barisan Nasional as the divided Malay vote could be exploited [1, 2]. Pakatan Harapan may also gain in urban and mixed seats from a divided opposition vote [1].
PAS holds a commanding majority in Kedah, which analysts believe makes a state government collapse before the election unlikely [1]. Meanwhile, Bersatu is considered unlikely to leave Perikatan Nasional, as going independent would worsen its electoral prospects [1].
The political tensions within Perikatan Nasional, especially between PAS and Bersatu, remain a critical challenge as Malaysia approaches key state and general elections later this year.
