Jump Trading launched a global soccer forecasting competition called the Jump Probability Cup on June 10, 2026, inviting participants worldwide to predict match outcomes of the 2026 FIFA World Cup [1, 2]. The contest aims to identify talent beyond traditional finance backgrounds by tapping broader talent pools.
Participants in the Jump Probability Cup compete on SportsPredict, a third-party sports prediction platform. The contest uses a weighted Brier score to evaluate the accuracy of forecasts, testing participants’ decision-making under uncertainty without involving any wagering [1, 2].
Those eligible to win will receive a paid prediction markets fellowship, gaining the opportunity to work at Jump Trading’s Chicago headquarters alongside research, trading, and technology teams [1, 2]. This program will allow Jump Trading to scout skilled forecasters who might contribute to its algorithmic trading business.
Founded in 1999, Jump Trading employs more than 2,000 traders, engineers, and researchers across eight countries [1, 2]. The firm has seen rising interest in prediction markets, boosted by the 2024 U.S. presidential election, and expects further growth linked to the upcoming FIFA World Cup [1, 2].
The company set the competition in motion on June 10, 2026, aiming to leverage the global excitement around soccer and its World Cup to discover new talent in forecasting [1, 2].