Former President Donald Trump compared the recent migrant surge in Spain’s North African enclave Ceuta to a potential future crisis in the United States, saying it could be worse if Democrats win upcoming elections [1, 2, 3].

Trump described the situation in Ceuta as a "catastrophe" resembling an invasion by hundreds of thousands of people. "You know, I saw Spain yesterday, and I watched the catastrophe that took place. It looks like an invasion of a country by hundreds of thousands of people," Trump said, warning that the same scenario could happen in the US if Republicans are not elected, but on a larger scale and easier to cross [2, 4].

The surge into Ceuta began on July 30, when thousands of mainly Moroccan youth illegally crossed into the Spanish enclave by swimming or using flotation devices, overwhelming border forces [5, 3]. Within 24 hours, about 50,000 migrants tried to enter Ceuta, with at least 18 drowning during the attempt [3]. Spain’s Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez and Interior Minister visited the site amid the crisis, while European countries including France increased border controls in response [3].

On July 31, Trump publicly warned that if Democrats regain power, the US could face a migrant crisis worse than Spain’s within three years. He said the biggest mistake by President Joe Biden was allowing 25 million people into the US, accusing many of them of criminal activity [2, 4].

"太可怕了。記住那張照片。3年後,如果錯誤的一方上台,那就是我們的處境," Trump said, emphasizing the grim outlook [2]. He also warned, "如果民主黨執政,你們將不會有好日子過," reinforcing his message to voters [3].

The migrant surge in Ceuta has prompted efforts to tighten border security both within Spain and across Europe. The upcoming US elections will test whether Trump’s warnings resonate with American voters amid ongoing debates over immigration policy.