US President Donald Trump said on May 23, 2026, he was '50/50' on whether to reach a deal with Iran or to resume military strikes, with a decision expected by Sunday [1, 2]. He told reporters, "I think one of two things will happen: either I hit them harder than they have ever been hit, or we are going to sign a deal that is good" [2]. Trump added, "Some people would much rather have a deal and others would rather resume the war" [1].
On the same day, Trump met with negotiators including Steve Witkoff, Jared Kushner, and Vice President JD Vance to discuss Iran's updated offer [1, 2]. A new draft memorandum of understanding has emerged from talks between Iran and Pakistan, aiming to end the ongoing war and allow 30 more days of detailed negotiations [1]. Pakistani Field Marshal Asim Munir, who acted as mediator, left Tehran on May 23 after reporting encouraging progress toward a final understanding [1].
Trump emphasized he will only sign an agreement that fully addresses uranium enrichment and Iran's enriched uranium stockpiles, ensuring Iran will not obtain a nuclear weapon [1, 3]. He said, "I will only sign a deal where we get everything we want" and asserted the final deal will prevent Iran from developing nuclear arms [3]. Trump also told CBS News that the US and Iran are "getting a lot closer" to an agreement to end the war, with steady daily progress [3].
Secretary of State Marco Rubio on May 23 acknowledged "some progress" in the negotiations and stressed the importance of reopening the Strait of Hormuz without tolls [1]. Trump dismissed reports that Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu was worried about an unfavorable agreement [1, 2].
The next key event is Sunday, May 24, when Trump is expected to decide whether to resume military strikes or sign a deal with Iran based on the progress and offers discussed [1, 2].
