Arsenal lead Manchester City by two points with two Premier League matches remaining in the 2025-26 season, putting them on the brink of their first league title in 22 years if they win both games [1, 2, 3, 4].
Arsenal will face relegated Burnley at home today, May 18, and travel to Crystal Palace on May 24 for the final matchday. Burnley’s relegation is confirmed this season [1, 3, 4]. Manchester City’s remaining fixtures are away at Bournemouth on May 19, who are currently unbeaten in 13 league games, and a home match against Aston Villa on May 24 [1, 2, 3, 4].
Despite being two points behind, Manchester City have a superior goal difference by one goal and have scored seven more goals than Arsenal this season, 75 to 68. City also have the better head-to-head record with Arsenal, including a 2-1 home win and a 1-1 draw at the Emirates Stadium [2].
If both clubs win their remaining matches, Arsenal would still clinch the title by two points on the final day [2, 4]. Arsenal could secure the championship early on May 18 if they beat Burnley and Manchester City fail to win against Bournemouth on May 19 [4]. Conversely, City can only win the title on the final day on May 24 by beating Aston Villa and benefiting from Arsenal dropping points in either remaining game [4].
The match against Crystal Palace on the final day may see some rotation by the London team, who prepare for the Europa Conference League final on May 27 against Rayo Vallecano. This could impact Arsenal’s toughest remaining away challenge [1, 2, 3].
Oliver Glasner, a figure involved in the campaign, said, "My first duty is to do what is right for my club; putting on a good title race is not my responsibility," acknowledging the competitive pressure [1].
The Premier League season’s final two matchdays on May 18, 19, and 24 will determine whether Arsenal can finish their first title-winning season since 2004 or if Manchester City will claim another crown.
